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North America · USD

United States · Country Risk Monitor

Economic stability intelligence based on macroeconomic stability, fiscal resilience, inflation, growth, external balance and labour market conditions.
COUNTRY: United States
ISO3: USA
REGION: North America
CURRENCY: USD
GENERATED: 2026-06-17 19:46 UTC
Economy Data · Country Risk Rating
United States — BBB · Moderate risk
Prototype composite score based on 6 macroeconomic pillars. This analytical rating is not a credit rating. Political risk and institutional quality are planned for the next model iteration.
BBB
66.3/100
Moderate risk
GDP growth 75 wt 20% · cache
Inflation 95 wt 15% · cache
Government debt 35 wt 15% · cache
Unemployment 80 wt 10% · cache
Current account 40 wt 15% · cache
Foreign reserves 90 wt 5% · cache

Latest values · United States

6 indicators
2.8 % Latest: 2024
2.9 % Latest: 2024
118.0 % Latest: 2024
4.2 % Latest: 2025
-4.1 % Latest: 2024
910.04 bn Latest: 2024

Historical · GDP Growth

NY.GDP.MKTP.KD.ZG
United States
GDP growth: cache Inflation: cache Government debt: cache Unemployment: cache Current account: cache Foreign reserves: cache

Rating methodology

6-pillar model
Component Weight Latest value Unit Score /100
GDP growth 20% 2.8 % 75
Inflation 15% 2.9 % 95
Government debt 15% 118.0 % of GDP 35
Unemployment 10% 4.2 % 80
Current account 15% -4.1 % of GDP 40
Foreign reserves 5% 910.04 bn USD 90

The model maps 0–100 composite scores to letter ratings (AAA–D). Political risk, institutional quality and FX volatility are planned for the next phase.

Risk diagnosis

rule-based
Strengths
  • Comparatively stable price environment
  • Solid economic growth momentum
  • Resilient labour market
Risks
  • Fiscal pressure from elevated public debt
  • External vulnerability through current account weakness

Diagnosis is rule-based and should be reviewed before use in investment, export or credit decisions.

Prototype risk scale

AAA → D
AAA
AA
A
BBB
← current
BB
B
CCC
CC
D

Country metadata

USA
Name United States
ISO3 USA
Region North America
Currency USD
Composite score 66.3/100
Rating BBB
Risk level Moderate risk