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East Asia · CNY

China · Country Risk Monitor

Economic stability intelligence based on macroeconomic stability, fiscal resilience, inflation, growth, external balance and labour market conditions.
COUNTRY: China
ISO3: CHN
REGION: East Asia
CURRENCY: CNY
GENERATED: 2026-06-17 19:44 UTC
Economy Data · Country Risk Rating
China — A · Low risk
Prototype composite score based on 6 macroeconomic pillars. This analytical rating is not a credit rating. Political risk and institutional quality are planned for the next model iteration.
A
77.2/100
Low risk
GDP growth 85 wt 20% · cache
Inflation 80 wt 15% · cache
Government debt 50 wt 15% · fallback
Unemployment 80 wt 10% · cache
Current account 85 wt 15% · cache
Foreign reserves 90 wt 5% · cache

Latest values · China

6 indicators
5.0 % Latest: 2024
0.2 % Latest: 2024
88.6 % Latest: 2024
4.6 % Latest: 2025
2.3 % Latest: 2024
3.46 tn Latest: 2024

Historical · GDP Growth

NY.GDP.MKTP.KD.ZG
China
GDP growth: cache Inflation: cache Government debt: fallback Unemployment: cache Current account: cache Foreign reserves: cache

Rating methodology

6-pillar model
Component Weight Latest value Unit Score /100
GDP growth 20% 5.0 % 85
Inflation 15% 0.2 % 80
Government debt 15% 88.6 % of GDP 50
Unemployment 10% 4.6 % 80
Current account 15% 2.3 % of GDP 85
Foreign reserves 5% 3.46 tn USD 90

The model maps 0–100 composite scores to letter ratings (AAA–D). Political risk, institutional quality and FX volatility are planned for the next phase.

Risk diagnosis

rule-based
Strengths
  • Comparatively stable price environment
  • Solid economic growth momentum
  • Stable external balance
  • Resilient labour market
Risks
  • Fiscal pressure from elevated public debt

Diagnosis is rule-based and should be reviewed before use in investment, export or credit decisions.

Prototype risk scale

AAA → D
AAA
AA
A
← current
BBB
BB
B
CCC
CC
D

Country metadata

CHN
Name China
ISO3 CHN
Region East Asia
Currency CNY
Composite score 77.2/100
Rating A
Risk level Low risk