Ukraine · Country Risk Monitor

Economic stability intelligence based on macroeconomic stability, fiscal resilience, inflation, growth, external balance and labour market conditions.
COUNTRY: Ukraine
ISO3: UKR
REGION: Europe
CURRENCY: UAH
GENERATED: 2026-09-21 19:05 UTC
Economy Data · Country Risk Rating
Ukraine — B · High risk
Prototype composite score based on 6 macroeconomic pillars. This analytical rating is not a credit rating. Political risk and institutional quality are planned for the next model iteration.
B
53.4/100
High risk
GDP growth 75 wt 20% · live
Inflation 35 wt 15% · live
Government debt 80 wt 15% · live
Unemployment 45 wt 10% · live
Current account 20 wt 15% · live
Foreign reserves 60 wt 5% · live

Latest values · Ukraine

6 indicators
1.8 % Latest: 2025
12.7 % Latest: 2025
58.7 % Latest: 2020
9.8 % Latest: 2021
-8.0 % Latest: 2024
57.27 bn Latest: 2025

Historical · GDP Growth

NY.GDP.MKTP.KD.ZG
Ukraine
GDP growth: live Inflation: live Government debt: live Unemployment: live Current account: live Foreign reserves: live

Rating methodology

6-pillar model
Component Weight Latest value Unit Score /100
GDP growth 20% 1.8 % 75
Inflation 15% 12.7 % 35
Government debt 15% 58.7 % of GDP 80
Unemployment 10% 9.8 % 45
Current account 15% -8.0 % of GDP 20
Foreign reserves 5% 57.27 bn USD 60

The model maps 0–100 composite scores to letter ratings (AAA–D). Political risk, institutional quality and FX volatility are planned for the next phase.

Risk diagnosis

rule-based
Strengths
  • Solid economic growth momentum
  • Manageable public debt position
Risks
  • Inflation instability or deviation from price stability
  • External vulnerability through current account weakness
  • Labour market weakness

Diagnosis is rule-based and should be reviewed before use in investment, export or credit decisions.

Prototype risk scale

AAA → D
AAA
AA
A
BBB
BB
B
← current
CCC
CC
D

Country metadata

UKR
Name Ukraine
ISO3 UKR
Region Europe
Currency UAH
Composite score 53.4/100
Rating B
Risk level High risk