Ukraine · Country Risk Monitor

Economic stability intelligence based on macroeconomic stability, fiscal resilience, inflation, growth, external balance and labour market conditions.
COUNTRY: Ukraine
ISO3: UKR
REGION: Europe
CURRENCY: UAH
GENERATED: 2026-06-17 19:44 UTC
Economy Data · Country Risk Rating
Ukraine — BB · Elevated risk
Prototype composite score based on 6 macroeconomic pillars. This analytical rating is not a credit rating. Political risk and institutional quality are planned for the next model iteration.
BB
58.1/100
Elevated risk
GDP growth 75 wt 20% · cache
Inflation 60 wt 15% · cache
Government debt 80 wt 15% · cache
Unemployment 45 wt 10% · cache
Current account 20 wt 15% · cache
Foreign reserves 60 wt 5% · cache

Latest values · Ukraine

6 indicators
2.9 % Latest: 2024
6.5 % Latest: 2024
58.7 % Latest: 2020
9.8 % Latest: 2021
-8.0 % Latest: 2024
43.78 bn Latest: 2024

Historical · GDP Growth

NY.GDP.MKTP.KD.ZG
Ukraine
GDP growth: cache Inflation: cache Government debt: cache Unemployment: cache Current account: cache Foreign reserves: cache

Rating methodology

6-pillar model
Component Weight Latest value Unit Score /100
GDP growth 20% 2.9 % 75
Inflation 15% 6.5 % 60
Government debt 15% 58.7 % of GDP 80
Unemployment 10% 9.8 % 45
Current account 15% -8.0 % of GDP 20
Foreign reserves 5% 43.78 bn USD 60

The model maps 0–100 composite scores to letter ratings (AAA–D). Political risk, institutional quality and FX volatility are planned for the next phase.

Risk diagnosis

rule-based
Strengths
  • Solid economic growth momentum
  • Manageable public debt position
Risks
  • Inflation instability or deviation from price stability
  • External vulnerability through current account weakness
  • Labour market weakness

Diagnosis is rule-based and should be reviewed before use in investment, export or credit decisions.

Prototype risk scale

AAA → D
AAA
AA
A
BBB
BB
← current
B
CCC
CC
D

Country metadata

UKR
Name Ukraine
ISO3 UKR
Region Europe
Currency UAH
Composite score 58.1/100
Rating BB
Risk level Elevated risk