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country-risk-monitor / turkey
Europe / Asia · TRY

Turkey · Country Risk Monitor

Economic stability intelligence based on macroeconomic stability, fiscal resilience, inflation, growth, external balance and labour market conditions.
COUNTRY: Turkey
ISO3: TUR
REGION: Europe / Asia
CURRENCY: TRY
GENERATED: 2026-06-17 19:44 UTC
Economy Data · Country Risk Rating
Turkey — BBB · Moderate risk
Prototype composite score based on 6 macroeconomic pillars. This analytical rating is not a credit rating. Political risk and institutional quality are planned for the next model iteration.
BBB
70.9/100
Moderate risk
GDP growth 85 wt 20% · cache
Inflation 35 wt 15% · cache
Government debt 90 wt 15% · cache
Unemployment 45 wt 10% · cache
Current account 85 wt 15% · cache
Foreign reserves 75 wt 5% · cache

Latest values · Turkey

6 indicators
3.3 % Latest: 2024
58.5 % Latest: 2024
26.6 % Latest: 2024
8.5 % Latest: 2025
-0.8 % Latest: 2024
155.55 bn Latest: 2024

Historical · GDP Growth

NY.GDP.MKTP.KD.ZG
Turkey
GDP growth: cache Inflation: cache Government debt: cache Unemployment: cache Current account: cache Foreign reserves: cache

Rating methodology

6-pillar model
Component Weight Latest value Unit Score /100
GDP growth 20% 3.3 % 85
Inflation 15% 58.5 % 35
Government debt 15% 26.6 % of GDP 90
Unemployment 10% 8.5 % 45
Current account 15% -0.8 % of GDP 85
Foreign reserves 5% 155.55 bn USD 75

The model maps 0–100 composite scores to letter ratings (AAA–D). Political risk, institutional quality and FX volatility are planned for the next phase.

Risk diagnosis

rule-based
Strengths
  • Solid economic growth momentum
  • Manageable public debt position
  • Stable external balance
Risks
  • Inflation instability or deviation from price stability
  • Labour market weakness

Diagnosis is rule-based and should be reviewed before use in investment, export or credit decisions.

Prototype risk scale

AAA → D
AAA
AA
A
BBB
← current
BB
B
CCC
CC
D

Country metadata

TUR
Name Turkey
ISO3 TUR
Region Europe / Asia
Currency TRY
Composite score 70.9/100
Rating BBB
Risk level Moderate risk